6-socket Orb of Fusing Community Log (done)

Based on this data, what is the chance I will be able to 6 link an item with 1000 consecutive fusings?
IGN: Arlianth
Check out my LA build: 1782214
"
Nephalim wrote:
Based on this data, what is the chance I will be able to 6 link an item with 1000 consecutive fusings?

Do the math. The chance to 6L seems to be around .086% and .142%.
Lowest Percentage = (1-(1-0.00086)^1000)*100 = 57.6% chance of 6L after 1000 fusings.
Highest Percentage = (1-(1-0.00142)^1000)*100 = 75.85% chance of 6L after 1000 fusings.
IGN: TsuruyaNyro
OP updated. Data seemed a little weird; since it was a decent chunk of data, and all since the 0.10.5 patch, there's a slight chance they stealth-buffed 5L/6L chances. I want to emphasize that this chance is slight; I'd need a lot more data to be confident this is what happened, and not just a lucky sample.
When Stephen Colbert was killed by HYDRA's Project Insight in 2014, the comedy world lost a hero. Since his life model decoy isn't up to the task, please do not mistake my performance as political discussion. I'm just doing what Steve would have wanted.
Last edited by ScrotieMcB#2697 on Apr 13, 2013, 9:09:14 AM


45 more fusings back to 5L
at least its a different 5L :(


100 fuses:

5L - 0

6L - 0

0L - 1


Exactly 320 fusings used - i had collected 1001 fusing in anticipation or the worst but it seems i lucked out for once.

320 fusings
----------
4L: 318
5L: 1
6L: 1
IGN: Arlianth
Check out my LA build: 1782214


52 fusings
----------
5L : 0
6L : 0


Fusings used: 351
<= 4L: 350
5L: 1
6L: 0
Update to former post: 72 more Fusings used
5L:0
6L:0
CURRENT STATE


FUSINGS USED: 536
Total 5Ls Hit so far: 2
Total 6Ls Hit: 0

*die*
bye bye PoE
Last edited by Selky62#3493 on Apr 14, 2013, 1:21:00 PM

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