6-socket Orb of Fusing Community Log (done)

Name: Etup

fusings: 6
5links: 3

http://www.twitch.tv/etup/c/2139590
"
glh5 wrote:
Name: Etup

fusings: 6
5links: 3

http://www.twitch.tv/etup/c/2139590
I'm going to interpret this a very narrow subsection of data selected for its strangeness, and not use it. It's important to use data that represents the entire picture, and not just super weird occurrences (although the super weird occurrences are okay if the normal is included as well).
When Stephen Colbert was killed by HYDRA's Project Insight in 2014, the comedy world lost a hero. Since his life model decoy isn't up to the task, please do not mistake my performance as political discussion. I'm just doing what Steve would have wanted.
You guys ever consider that GGG might be ninja-nerfing 6L rates?

I mean, the devs can wake up one day, see that too many people are getting "endgame gear" and then nerf drop rates (or link rates in this case) at the flip of a switch, and players would be none the wiser.

The last linking contest I donated to, the OP wasted 1100 of his own fusings on top of the 2000 that everyone else donated.








/tinfoilhat
✮ in-game @FTMFW
✮ twitch.tv/RRTSON
✮ [Shop] http://www.pathofexile.com/forum/view-thread/909223
✮ [Build of the Week] http://www.pathofexile.com/forum/view-thread/1034503
Just getting started:



Fusings: 32

5L: 0
6L: 0

315 fusings used

5L: 5
6L: 1

(Off the record: spent 1000-1100 fusings before I knew about this thread and started taking notes, but I can't provide any exact numbers I'm afraid. Got 5L 6 times trying to fuse the very same bow.)
I'll just add my current gear to my shop thread, so people could find me some upgrades...
Last edited by Dikki#0538 on Apr 11, 2013, 8:55:37 PM
"
rrtson wrote:
You guys ever consider that GGG might be ninja-nerfing 6L rates?
I have. I consider the "ninja" part unlikely.
"
rrtson wrote:
The last linking contest I donated to, the OP wasted 1100 of his own fusings on top of the 2000 that everyone else donated.

/tinfoilhat
Let's say the chance of 6L is exactly 1 in 875 (the current rate). That would mean the chance of missing 3100 consecutive times is (874/875)^3100 = 0.0289, or 2.89%. That means 1 in 35 people who sit down and drop Fusings over and over until they get a six-link are just as unlucky, or even unluckier. Someone with an equally odd amount of good luck would get a 6L in 25 Fusings or less. Although these things don't exactly happen regularly, they're not so far out there that there should be any cause for alarm.
When Stephen Colbert was killed by HYDRA's Project Insight in 2014, the comedy world lost a hero. Since his life model decoy isn't up to the task, please do not mistake my performance as political discussion. I'm just doing what Steve would have wanted.

Kept a log for a while, here's the final stats:

Fusings used: 190
6Ls: 0
5Ls: 1
4Ls: 22


You can double check my counting skills here:
Spoiler
20 attempts
4L - 1
5L - 0
6L - 0

20 attempts
4L - 1
5L - 0
6L - 0

3 attempts
4L - 1
5L - 0
6L - 0

20 attempts
4L - 2
5L - 0
6L - 0

9 attempts
4L - 1
5L - 0
6L - 0

11 attempts
4L - 3
5L - 0
6L - 0

20 attempts
4L - 2
5L - 0
6L - 0

12 attempts
4L - 3

17 attempts
4L - 1

21 attempts
4L - 3

21 attempts
4L - 2

16 attempts
4L - 2
5L - 1
How Fusings Work: http://www.pathofexile.com/forum/view-thread/38585/page/3#p1451934

IGN: TheHammer
del
Will be online 06:00-08:00 (UTC/GMT +4 hours)
Last edited by Misogi#2219 on Apr 12, 2013, 1:09:36 AM


70 fusing used

4 Link or less : 70
5 Link: 0
6 Link: 0
ign: Kiyumori , Rhea_Morte


63 fusings used

4 Link or less : 62
5 Link: 0
6 Link: 1



145 fusings used

4 Link or less : 144
5 Link: 1
6 Link: 0
Last edited by Skvimpan#3065 on Apr 12, 2013, 4:34:17 AM

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