"
neohongkong wrote:
for ilvl 85 two-mod watcher's eye, do you kept Shaper alive ???
I never tried to kill Shaper in Elder arena. It's possible?
Uber Elder arena is totally another disscusion in term of which boss must be killed first...
|
Posted byGhitza#1516on Mar 29, 2022, 1:17:59 PM
|
"
PurpleChakra wrote:
The drop rate for WE with the passive is 35% (1/4 base chance + 10%). Let's look at the likelihood of dropping WEs at both rates you claim, using Binomial Distribution probability.
7 in 10: 10choose7 * (0.35)^7 * (1-0.35)^(10-7) = 0.0212 = 2.12%
0 in 9: 9choose0 * (0.35)^0 * (1-0.35)^(9-0) = 0.65^9 = 0.0207 = 2.07%
It's basically the same chance for you to get 7 WEs from 10 runs as it is for you to get 0 from 9. RNGesus giveth and RNGesus taketh away.
(extra sanity check: overall you got 7 from 19: 7/19 = 0.368 = 36.8%, so almost on drop rate)
Even I don't fully understand your mathematical arguments, in the end I found alot of logic and it make sense.
Thank you for your feed-back!
|
Posted byGhitza#1516on Mar 29, 2022, 1:21:35 PM
|
"
Ghitza wrote:
"
neohongkong wrote:
for ilvl 85 two-mod watcher's eye, do you kept Shaper alive ???
I never tried to kill Shaper in Elder arena. It's possible?
Uber Elder arena is totally another disscusion in term of which boss must be killed first...
You must keep Shaper alive in Red Elder by killing all adds, or use consecrated ground to heal him or frost wall to protect him
Sometimes people have too much dps and does not realize this detail
This is the start of forum signature: I am not a GGG employee. About the username: Did you know Kowloon Gundam is made in Neo Hong Kong?
quote from the first page: "Please post one thread per issue, and check the forum for similar posts first"
This is the end of forum signature
|
Posted byneohongkong#0222on Mar 29, 2022, 6:38:26 PM
|
