Watch the ExileCon Livestream and Win Microtransactions with Twitch Drops!

Why are we still here? Just to suffer? Every stream, I can feel my footprints… and my wings… even my bundles. The armour sets I’ve lost… the 0 gang members I’ve lost… won’t stop hurting… It’s like they’re all still there. You feel it, too, don’t you?
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saif3r wrote:
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May_noir wrote:
I have watch it for 2 day full and no drops. I do have my account link.
By your math GGG I have over 200%+ change of winner so what is going on here?

What math? Using what kind of math did you calculated 200%? You must be joking.


Probably another mathematician who think that % chances are cumulative. ( 288% for 8 hours of stream with 3% every 5 min.

I haven't received any notifications on Twitch but this morning I started receiving massages on the site that I've "found an item from Twitch Drops". First message received 8-9 hours ago and then two more, latest 10 minutes ago.
I wonder if they going 1 by 1, looking trough log manually for each one that logged on exilecon live stream? if so people who receiving something maybe still for first day of stream.
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myhorseisamaz1ng wrote:
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saif3r wrote:

What math? Using what kind of math did you calculated 200%? You must be joking.

Thats so called "cummulative rate".
Yes, coin may fall with number on top a million times in a row, but what's a chance for that?

P.S. watched stream both days full time, still nothing. Barely holding my hands from doing something... bad.

They never said it's cumulative.
Doing something bad for not getting few pixels for free makes this thread even more ridiculous.
Last edited by saif3r#2522 on Nov 17, 2019, 10:35:56 AM
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saif3r wrote:
"
myhorseisamaz1ng wrote:
"
saif3r wrote:

What math? Using what kind of math did you calculated 200%? You must be joking.

Thats so called "cummulative rate".
Yes, coin may fall with number on top a million times in a row, but what's a chance for that?

P.S. watched stream both days full time, still nothing. Barely holding my hands from doing something... bad.

They never said it's cumulative.
Doing something bad for not getting few pixels for free makes this thread even more ridiculous.


have you ever learned mathematical expectation?
I mean technically the pixels are worth cash and depending on the tier they can be worth a couple of hundred of points, so they are not just pixels anymore, they would be just pixels if you hadn't to buy them for cash in the first place
I got delayed loot ;) + same here have "twitch prime drops enabled" so dont need to be specific "twitch drops" https://imgur.com/a/OpcRuIc
Last edited by BryczkowskiPL#3801 on Nov 17, 2019, 10:48:29 AM
:)
People here seems confuse odds chance with drop chance. It always 1.5% chance or 3% on second day every 5 mins, when dice was rolled. But every time you didn't get anything, your odds would increase to get something next roll. So even though after, say after 8.3 hours, your odds would add up to 100% getting something, the actual chance is still 1.5% to get something when dice is rolled.

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