Orb of Chance Community Log

Is the OP or anybody else going to do some serious statistical inference job on the data?

I'm no statistics expert... I took a course on that and I could try to remember how to get the margin of error and all that. But I'd rather see someone who has it fresher than me take a shot at it.
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Falcord wrote:
Is the OP or anybody else going to do some serious statistical inference job on the data?

I'm no statistics expert... I took a course on that and I could try to remember how to get the margin of error and all that. But I'd rather see someone who has it fresher than me take a shot at it.


I have no intentions of doing so...I hate math in general. I took Statistics and skated through. I was originally planning on majoring in programming, but once I got past the hobbyist basics, I had to think twice about it.

Not my area of expertise, unfortunately.
In that case, unless someone else volunteers, I guess I can give it a try once we have meaningful enough data.

I am a big fan of Bayesian inference, but the classic stuff... I forgot most of it.
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Falcord wrote:
In that case, unless someone else volunteers, I guess I can give it a try once we have meaningful enough data.

I am a big fan of Bayesian inference, but the classic stuff... I forgot most of it.


Give it a go if you want. If you need any information other than what I've posted, let me know, and I'll see if I can help.
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MonopolyLegend wrote:
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Falcord wrote:
In that case, unless someone else volunteers, I guess I can give it a try once we have meaningful enough data.

I am a big fan of Bayesian inference, but the classic stuff... I forgot most of it.


Give it a go if you want. If you need any information other than what I've posted, let me know, and I'll see if I can help.


It's okay. I just need much, much more data. We're trying to find a ratio for uniques and so far there just isn't enough, the margin of error would be huge.
Yup, 2 isn't nearly enough. However, I'm happy with how quickly this has been progressing - I've gotten a lot of help from the community with it!
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MonopolyLegend wrote:
EDIT: You don't have to answer this one, but I'm curious, so I thought I'd ask: developers seem to like keeping these sorts of things (such as chances to obtain a unique) a secret. What's the reason for this, if you don't mind mind my asking?
Let's not forget that while the devs are very open and forthcoming this game isn't an open source project. Not everything needs transparency. Somethings are better left a mystery for various reasons.
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FaceLicker wrote:
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MonopolyLegend wrote:
EDIT: You don't have to answer this one, but I'm curious, so I thought I'd ask: developers seem to like keeping these sorts of things (such as chances to obtain a unique) a secret. What's the reason for this, if you don't mind mind my asking?
Let's not forget that while the devs are very open and forthcoming this game isn't an open source project. Not everything needs transparency. Somethings are better left a mystery for various reasons.


I'm not complaining, just curious. Drop rates and such seem to be pretty hush-hush in most games I play, at least where the devs are concerned. I never understood why. :o
I'm doing a lot of Mesh boot farming, I seem to be able to collect about 30 an hour and I think I can do even better than that. If anyone has chance orbs that need items for testing, let me know, I will gladly donate mesh boots their way. Also, I will gladly pay 1 Fusing Orbs for 4 Orbs of Chance.

You can PM me or in game @me OldManWithABow.
How Fusings Work: http://www.pathofexile.com/forum/view-thread/38585/page/3#p1451934

IGN: TheHammer
Last edited by TehHammer#0539 on Jun 25, 2012, 1:58:22 PM
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TehHammer wrote:
I'm doing a lot of Mesh boot farming, I seem to be able to collect about 30 an hour and I think I can do even better than that. If anyone has chance orbs that need items for testing, let me know, I will gladly donate mesh boots their way. Also, I will gladly pay 1 Fusing Orbs for 4 Orbs of Chance.

You can PM me or in game @me OldManWithABow.

Where are you farming for them? I've heard flooded depths is pretty good, iLVL 29 and has a large chest in it, plus the Deep Dweller.
TehHammer is not a crime!

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