Orb of Chance Community Log
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1 rare mesh boots
Leaves are falling all around, It's time I was on my way.
Thanks to you, I'm much obliged for such a pleasant stay. But now it's time for me to go. The autumn moon lights my way. For now I smell the rain, and with it pain, and it's headed my way. |
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1 karui maul and one dread maul. both gone magic.
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2 more mesh boot. 1 rare and 1 magic.
Proud 5th duelist in the Jul 1 2012 Ladder Race and in the Nov 3 2012 Solo Turbo Race :D
And even prouder 4th Templar in the Nov 10 Four-hour Party Hardcore Race :P Current OB success: top 20 Ranger in 105 Minute Turbo Solo (S4E9) |
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38 Magic, 10 Rares, mostly Onyx Ammys and the other usuals for me.
How Fusings Work: http://www.pathofexile.com/forum/view-thread/38585/page/3#p1451934
IGN: TheHammer |
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10 Orbs on the same Vaal Ruins Lvl 62 Map...
2 rare, 8 magic /global 4745
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11 orbs: 5rare, 6 magic
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19 orbs on gold rings, sapphire rings and onyx amulets.
5 rare, 14 magic. IGN: N_Bohr
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8 orbs on 6 rings and 2 amulets. 2 rare rings, the rest magic.
* Cheers from Argentina, the land of ping and packet loss *
#HYPEGATE GMT -3 |
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4 topaz rings, all magic
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Correct me if I´m wrong...
1-(1/5.4)-(1346/1722)= 0.033 chance for a unique item. I think this should be a more precise estimation on the chance of getting unique than 5/1722 = 0.0029 due to the exact chance of getting a rare and the high amount of magic items counted. But on the other hand getting a unique out of an average of 30 orbs sounds too good... ... so i looked up my statistics stuff The standard error of the magic item chance: 1346/1722 = 0.7816 sqrt((0.7816*(1-0.7816))/1722)=0.009564 0.009564*1722 = 17.14 Now lets calculate the 95% confidence interval: 1-(1/5.4)-((1346+1.96*17.14)/1722)= 0.0137 1-(1/5.4)-((1346-1.96*17.14)/1722)= 0.0527 So if my calculations are right and the probability of getting a rare item is exact, the probability of getting a unique item should lie by 95% between 1.37% and 5.27%. hm... by my calculations we should be around at least 24 uniques so i guess i did a mistake :D... Last edited by jaankoo#1089 on Sep 26, 2012, 4:47:29 AM
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