6-socket Orb of Fusing Community Log (done)



500+ jewellery
1720 fuse .
8times 5l
0 times 6l



300+ jewellery
550 fuses.
7times 5l
1times 6l
IGN : WhySoDelicious
Last edited by Mark0716#4709 on Apr 2, 2013, 12:30:11 PM


375 Fusings
---------------
371x 4L or less
3x 5L
1x 6L

118 fusings
------------
0x 5L
0x 6L
Running isn't freedom. You should know that.
ighnaz - Thanks for the beta key!!!!
I HAVE NO MORE BETA KEYS!!
Last edited by Soroban#6789 on Apr 4, 2013, 1:00:12 AM
"
chup_ wrote:
1606 fusings used

no 6 link
8x 5 link


up to 1643 fusings used

no 6 link
9x 5 link
Last edited by chup_#0420 on Apr 2, 2013, 4:38:59 PM
"
chup_ wrote:
1606 fusings used

no 6 link
8x 5 link


FINALLY! 1,710 fusings used, 9 times 5 linked


38 Fusings, all in one session.

5L: 0
6L: 1
I have a quite strong feeling that the chances for respective links are:

2L: 1/2 = 1/2!
3L: 1/6 = 1/3!
4L: 1/24 = 1/4!
5L: 1/120 = 1/5!
6L: 1/720 = 1/6!


Why?
As I'm extremely tired and therefore not able to explain my thoughts in words, I'll explain it in a short (and most possibly badly written) script.

while linkindex<=numberofsockets

prob=arbitrary
probneg=arbitrary
check=random(1,y)
if check==1
link linkindex
prob=prob+probneg
else
prob=arbitrary (same as before)
linkindex=linkindex+1

And as the natural way would be to put prob=2 and probneg=1, this results in a simple factorial, 1/x! where x is the wanted number of linked sockets. This also corresponds quite well to the chances estimated by this thread.

Does that make sense or am I just mumbling on mindlessly?

If I'm correct, this means that getting a 5l on a 6s is as probable as getting it on a 5s becouse you have 2 possibilities of getting 5l on a 6s, both requiring one failed 1/2 roll, resulting in 1/5! even on a 6s.
IGN: Ralfe


640 Jewelers

1 fusing

wtf
Abyssus Crit Cleave - http://www.pathofexile.com/forum/view-thread/381106
OP completely up-to-date.
"
Riakkek wrote:
Does that make sense or am I just mumbling on mindlessly?
It's a more interesting guess than most, but we know the Jeweler's Orb ratios were (and possible still are) 100:90:80:30:5:1, and the Fusing data so far shows 5L and 6L occuring at a ratio eerily close to 5:1. So it's probably something in a similar format to the (old?) Jeweler's ratios.
When Stephen Colbert was killed by HYDRA's Project Insight in 2014, the comedy world lost a hero. Since his life model decoy isn't up to the task, please do not mistake my performance as political discussion. I'm just doing what Steve would have wanted.
Last edited by ScrotieMcB#2697 on Apr 3, 2013, 2:34:15 AM

30ish jewelers to 6s it :D

I thought the odds were more something like 600fusing to get 1 6l in average; apparently it's even worse. 600 is already around 20 exalt worth.


5l: 2
6l: 0

602

Ended with a 3l lol.

=.= Pls ignore my old threads (more than 1 month ago) =.=
Last edited by Oracle87#3935 on Apr 3, 2013, 6:12:37 PM

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