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I have found only coupld of trials so far ( some days nothing ) ... only 3 different ... and 2 or 3 of stinging doubt.
lvl 86.5 atm
RNGsus ....
SSF is not and will never be a standard for balance, it is not for people entitled to getting more without trading.
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Posted byFruz#6137on Oct 4, 2016, 11:02:40 PM
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"
Turtledove wrote:
"
Perq wrote:
Lets see...
6 Trials. You have 5/6 chance to NOT get the one you need. (I'm gonna assume their rarity is the same, as I've run across ones you claim to be rare, over and over again).
Chance to not get Trial you need = 5/6 = 83,3%
Chance to not get it twice = (5/6)*(5/6)= 69,4%
Chance to not get Trial you need for 100 times = (5/6)^100 = 0,000001207%
Not sure if I believe you about the 100 times part, bro.
Chances that out of 100 times one of the six maps would not show up would be about 6 times the number you calculate. Which is still an extremely tiny number so your point is definitely still valid. On the other hand I'll guess that he did not actually count the 100 and was just gross estimating. So let's try something else. What's the probability of having this problem after 20 times. If I worked the calculator properly (which I can't guarantee :-) ) then it is a 2.6% chance. This is definitely going to happen frequently with a large population like the PoE player base. Is that fine or not? I have no opinion so others can discuss.
This is why being able to get them from other players is a good thing - it mitigates the bad left side of Gaussian curve, allowing players to get that one last trial (or two).
Real knowledge is to know the extent of one's ignorance.
Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge.
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Posted byPerq#4049on Oct 5, 2016, 1:58:28 AM
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wtf people just go to 820 I got my shit done the first day.
Dys an sohm
Rohs an kyn
Sahl djahs afah
Mah morn narr
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Posted byCoconutdoggy#1805on Oct 5, 2016, 2:01:48 AMOn Probation
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I am close to the worst player in poe with more than 100 hrs, and I am pretty certain of that. I got it done in 4 days. Solo. Not hard to run tier 1-7 maps until you find them all.
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Posted byXtorma#4606on Oct 5, 2016, 2:59:59 AM
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you really should try global 820.
There are people spaming the chat 24/7 with various things including lab trials.
Im sure you can find the missing trials there in less then an hour
Good luck !
YES I support the game, NO I don't agree with many GGG decisions
Lab still sucks balls.
I miss Zana already.
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Posted byMiazga#7204on Oct 5, 2016, 5:38:49 AM
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Even Global 5055 can help you find trials. If you don't want to use Global 820, then you can always use the Prophecy that guarantees you will find a Trial. This will increase your odds of finding the one you need, but will be more costly that using 820.
U MAD?
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Posted byDocbp87#4179on Oct 5, 2016, 10:58:48 AM
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"
Perq wrote:
"
Turtledove wrote:
"
Perq wrote:
Lets see...
6 Trials. You have 5/6 chance to NOT get the one you need. (I'm gonna assume their rarity is the same, as I've run across ones you claim to be rare, over and over again).
Chance to not get Trial you need = 5/6 = 83,3%
Chance to not get it twice = (5/6)*(5/6)= 69,4%
Chance to not get Trial you need for 100 times = (5/6)^100 = 0,000001207%
Not sure if I believe you about the 100 times part, bro.
Chances that out of 100 times one of the six maps would not show up would be about 6 times the number you calculate. Which is still an extremely tiny number so your point is definitely still valid. On the other hand I'll guess that he did not actually count the 100 and was just gross estimating. So let's try something else. What's the probability of having this problem after 20 times. If I worked the calculator properly (which I can't guarantee :-) ) then it is a 2.6% chance. This is definitely going to happen frequently with a large population like the PoE player base. Is that fine or not? I have no opinion so others can discuss.
This is why being able to get them from other players is a good thing - it mitigates the bad left side of Gaussian curve, allowing players to get that one last trial (or two).
are you guys ignoring that not every map has a trial?
i don't know if they did something to the spawnrate this league as i'm not tracking it now but last league i needed to run 102 maps to get 10 trials to spawn.
means around every 10th map you get a trial.
roll a six-sided die 10 times and try to get all 6 numbers. not so probable anymore.
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Posted byRuefl2x#5824on Oct 5, 2016, 4:25:43 PM
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